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Lock In or Lose Out? The Looming Office Supply Crunch

Amy Wong, Executive Director of Research & Consultancy, Knight Frank Malaysia

13-Jan-26 12:00

Lock In or Lose Out? The Looming Office Supply Crunch

The "buy and wait" era is over. According to Knight Frank Malaysia, 2026 marks a shift toward "value hunting amid volatility." Amy Wong, Executive Director of Research & Consultancy at Knight Frank Malaysia, joins BFM to decode the 2026 outlook. 

With office supply set to drop by 11% this year and over a third in 2027, the market is approaching a critical "decision year" where tenants lose their leverage. We discuss the rise of a "two-tier market," why industrial rents are staying disciplined despite the China+1 boom, and how investors must now manufacture "alpha" through active asset management.

We discuss:

  • The 2025 Scorecard: How front-loaded global trade and domestic consumption kept the market resilient, and why the 2026 "cool-down" is normalisation, not a hangover.

  • Industrial "Smarter Space": Why manufacturers are buying land to build rather than renting. Amy explains the shift from sheer scale to high-spec facilities (higher floor loading, automation readiness) to support supply chain diversification.

  • The Two-Tier Market: How the tech boom and Gen AI are creating a polarisation across sectors. Green, efficient buildings are winning, while older stock faces obsolescence.

  • The Office "Decision Year": With new office supply dropping sharply in 2026 and 2027, the window for tenants to lock in favorable terms is closing. We discuss the "Stay vs. Go" debate for companies in aging buildings.

  • Asset Level Alpha: Why market-driven growth is gone. Amy argues that returns must now be "earned" through active retrofitting and repositioning of older assets, rather than passive holding.

Produced by: Roshan Kanesan

Presented by: Roshan Kanesan


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Categories:  investmentspropertySMEmarkets

Tags:  industrial logisticsoffice marketreal estateproperty marketChina plus one





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